Options Analysis

Options trading articles in Options Analysis.

• SOXL Options Are Pricing a $16 Move Into Friday — Our Read Says the $110–$120 Corridor Matters More — The options market implies a $101–$133.50 range for SOXL into the September 11 expiration, but almost all the open interest that matters sits between the $110 put wall and the freshly built $120 call wall. Here's what changed in the flow last week and three defined-risk ways to trade the next four days.
• IBIT Options Are Pricing a ±$2.15 Move Into Friday — Our Read Leans Bullish — The options market implies a $43.08–$47.38 range for IBIT into the September 11 expiration, and the positioning data leans to the upper half of it. Here's the level map, the kill switch, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next four days.
• TSLA Options Are Pricing an $18 Move Into Friday — Our Read Sees a $360 Pin, the Charts See $347 — The options market implies a $336–$372 range for TSLA into the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $360 and the heaviest put open interest parked at $350. Positioning tilts faintly higher, both technical models disagree, and premium is unusually cheap versus how much the stock has actually been moving.
• TQQQ Options Are Pricing a ±$4.14 Move Into Friday — Positioning Says the Fight Is Between $70 and $74 — The options market implies a $68.23–$76.51 range for TQQQ into the September 11 expiration, but the open-interest map is far narrower — a freshly built $74 call wall above, the chain's heaviest put strike at $70 below. Here's what's driving the setup and three defined-risk ways to trade the next four days.
• Ford (F) Options Imply a $14.06–$15.13 Range Into Friday — Our Positioning Read Leans Lower Than the Charts — Ford's options market is pricing a ±3.7% move into the September 11 expiration, with max pain and the put wall both parked at $14.00 while price has already pushed through that expiration's $14.50 call wall. Here's the level map, the model-vs-market tension, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next four days.
• SOXS Options Outlook: Will $45 Hold Into Friday's Expiration? — The options market is pricing a ±13.9% move in SOXS into the September 11 expiration, and every near-dated signal in Friday's chain leaned the same direction. Here are the levels that matter and three defined-risk ways to trade them.
• AAPL Options Outlook: Will the $320 Pin Hold Through Friday? — The options market implies a $307.94–$331.80 range for Apple into the September 11 expiration, with max pain sitting exactly at Friday's close. Here's the level map, the technical divergence worth watching, and three defined-risk structures.
• IREN Options Are Pricing a ±$4.76 Move Into Friday — and the $45 Call Wall Decides It — IREN's options market implies a $39.92–$49.44 range through the September 11 expiration after a 25% five-session run, and the flow is unusually call-heavy. The catch: the heaviest call open interest for that expiration sits at $45, right where the stock closed.
• SOFI Options Are Pricing a $1.07 Move by Friday — Our Technical Read Sees Half That — The options market implies a $17.15–$19.29 range for SOFI into the September 11 expiration, while both technical checks point to a tighter drift toward $18.55. Here's the full level map, what changed in the flow, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next four days.
• MARA Options Are Pricing a ±$1.22 Move by Friday — the 4-Day Chart Model Sees Half of It — MARA's options market implies a $10.09–$12.53 range into the September 11 expiration, while the four-day technical model pencils in a band less than half that wide. Here's what the positioning actually says, where the levels sit, and three defined-risk ways to trade the gap.
• PFE Options Imply a ±$0.77 Move Into September 11 — Our Technical Read Says $28.10 — The options market is pricing PFE between $27.68 and $29.22 through the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $28.00 and premium running thinner than 90% of this stock's own recent readings. Here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• SMCI Options Are Pricing a $3.65 Move Into Sep 11 — Our Technical Models See About a Third of That — The options market implies a $35.94–$43.24 range for SMCI into the September 11 expiration, while both technical reads target roughly $40.30–$40.75. Here's what the positioning data actually shows, the levels that matter, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• AMZN Options Outlook: Will the $265 Call Wall Hold Through September 11? — The options market is pricing AMZN in a $248.60–$267.70 band into the September 11 expiration, with max pain pinned at $257.50 and the heaviest call open interest stacked at $265. Here's what the positioning actually says — and three defined-risk ways to trade a market that can't pick a direction.
• PLTR Options Outlook: Will the $170 Put Wall Hold Through September 11? — The options market is pricing a roughly $10 move in Palantir into the September 11 expiration, and the positioning behind that price is leaning down — put volume just overtook calls for the first time in weeks. Here are the levels that matter and three defined-risk ways to trade them.
• BAC Options Are Pricing a $1.57 Week — And Every Magnet in the Chain Sits Below the Close — Bank of America options imply a $61.10–$64.24 range into the September 11 expiration, with max pain, the put wall and both technical targets clustered at or below Friday's $62.68 close. Here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade the drift.
• QQQ Options Price a $13.64 Move by Sept 11 — Our Read Leans Higher, the Chain Points to $715 — QQQ's options market implies a $704.37–$731.65 range into the September 11 expiration, with both of that expiration's walls and its max-pain strike stacked at $715. Here's what the positioning says, where the volatility premium sits, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next five days.
• XLF Options Imply a $57.11–$59.09 Range Into Friday — Flow Leans Up, the Charts Lean Down — XLF's options chain is pricing a move of roughly a dollar either way into the September 11 expiration, with max pain parked at $58 and puts trading cheaper than calls. Our positioning read leans slightly bullish; both technical models lean bearish — here's the map and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• XLE Options Outlook: Will $63.70 Hold Through the September 11 Expiration? — XLE options are pricing a $62.20–$65.92 range into the September 11 expiration, with max pain sitting almost exactly on Thursday's close and the week's heaviest call strike at $65. Put flow ran 2.4-to-1 against calls — here's what that actually signals, plus three defined-risk ways to trade the range.
• NFLX Options Are Pricing a $3.21 Move Into September 11 — Our Technical Model Sees $76.60 — Netflix options imply a $75.04–$81.46 range into the September 11 expiration, and the positioning blend comes out neutral — but momentum, skew drift and both technical reads point at the lower half of that band. Here are the levels that matter and three defined-risk ways to trade them.
• NOK Options Price a ±$0.70 Move Into September 11 — Our Read Says Most of It Stays Unused — The options market is pricing NOK between $9.33 and $10.73 through the September 11 expiration, but flow, walls and max pain all cluster around $10. Here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade a slightly bullish, premium-rich week.
• SPY Options Are Pricing a ±$10 Move Into September 11 — And the Positioning Says the Range Holds — The options market implies a $760.10–$780.28 range for SPY into the September 11 expiration, with max pain sitting almost exactly on the current price. Here's what's driving the setup, the level ladder that matters, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• MSTR Options Are Pricing a $14 Move by September 11 — Our Technical Model Sees $146.50 — The options market implies a $129–$157 range for MicroStrategy into the September 11 expiration, while both technical reads target roughly $146.50. Here's what's driving the gap, the levels that matter, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• HOOD Options Are Pricing a ±$10 Move Into Friday — The Technical Read Sees Half That — Robinhood's options market implies a $112–$132 range into the September 11 expiration, while both technical models see a far narrower, slightly higher path. Here's the level map behind that gap and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• MU Options Are Pricing a $76 Move Into Friday — And Traders Just Bought the $1,050 Calls — Micron's options market implies a $940–$1,093 range into the September 11 expiration, and positioning has tilted call-heavy fast: put open interest collapsed while fresh money piled into the $1,050 strike. Here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• WMT Options Outlook: Can the $105–$110 Corridor Hold Into Friday? — Walmart's options market is pricing a $104.37–$109.91 range into the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $106 and implied volatility near the bottom of its yearly range. Positioning reads neutral — but both technical checks point lower, and that gap is the week's most interesting number.
• GOOGL Options Are Pricing a ±$12 Move Into Sept 11 — Our Technical Read Sees $335.50 — The options market implies a $326.78–$350.14 range for GOOGL through the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $340 and the heaviest put open interest at $330. Positioning leans slightly bullish while both technical models point lower — here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade the gap.
• TLT Options Are Pricing a $1 Move Into Friday — Our Positioning Read and the Chart Disagree — The options market implies an $81.18–$83.24 range for TLT into the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $82.50 and flow leaning modestly call-side. The 5-day technical model points the other way — here's the level that settles it, plus three defined-risk structures.
• ORCL Options Are Pricing a $23 Move Into Friday — And the Positioning Read Says Up — Oracle's options market implies a $135.63–$181.93 range into the September 11 expiration, with calls now costing more than puts and fresh upside open interest stacked at $175. Here's the level map, the earnings wrinkle, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next five days.
• MSFT Options Outlook: Will $490 Hold Through the September 11 Expiration? — The options market is pricing a $484.61–$514.79 range for Microsoft into the September 11 expiration, with max pain sitting almost exactly on the last close. Here's the level map, the flow that changed this week, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• IWM Options Are Pricing a $5.45 Move by September 11 — The Positioning Map Says $290 to $300 — IWM's options market implies a $290.56–$301.46 range into the September 11 expiration, with the heaviest put open interest parked at $290 and the heaviest calls at $300. Here's what the flow is actually saying, the full level map, and three defined-risk ways to trade a market whose own signals disagree.
• AAL Options Outlook: Positioning Says Higher While the Trend Says Lower — The options market is pricing a $12.51–$13.77 range for American Airlines into the September 11 expiration, and our positioning read leans bullish even as every trend horizon still points down. Here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• DELL Options Are Pricing a $42 Move Into September 11 — Our Models See Less Than Half That — The options market implies a $482–$566 range for DELL through September 11, with a scheduled earnings report sitting inside the window. Here's what the positioning data actually shows, the levels that matter, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• CRWV Options Are Pricing an $8.40 Move Into September 11 — Our Read Leans Slightly Higher — CoreWeave options imply an $80.69–$97.49 range into the September 11 expiration, but the walls that matter are stacked right on the price at $89 and $90. Here's the positioning story, the full level map, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next six days.
• EEM Options Outlook: Can the $69 Call Wall Hold Through September 11? — The options market is pricing EEM between $67.00 and $70.40 into the September 11 expiration, and the heaviest call open interest for that date sits right on top of spot at $69. Here's what the positioning says, where the levels are, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next six days.
• META Options Price a $27 Move Into September 11 — But Every Front-Week Wall Sits Below the Stock — The options market implies a $589.40–$644.15 range for META into the September 11 expiration, yet that expiration's call wall, put wall and max pain all sit below the current $616.77 close. Here's what that unusual positioning means, plus three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• RKLB Options Outlook: Will $63 Hold Into the September 11 Expiration? — The options market is pricing a $59.27–$69.25 range for Rocket Lab into the September 11 expiration, and the flow underneath it has turned sharply call-heavy even though the stock sits 23% below where it traded a month ago. Here's the level map, the volatility read, and three defined-risk ways to trade the next six days.
• AMD Options Are Pricing a ±$30 Move Into September 11 — The Technical Read Sees $488 — The options market implies a $445.66–$505.90 range for AMD into the September 11 expiration, while both technical models point to roughly $488. Here's what the positioning actually shows, the one level that kills the read, and three defined-risk ways to trade the gap.
• SLV Options Are Pricing a $2.92 Move Into September 11 — But Every Wall Sits at $60 — The options market implies a $56.90–$62.74 range for SLV through the September 11 expiration, yet that expiration's call wall and max pain both sit at $60 — a whisker above Thursday's close. Here's what the positioning says and three defined-risk ways to trade the next six days.
• RGTI Options Are Pricing a $1.25 Move Through Sept 11 — Our Technical Read Sees Half That — The options market implies a $13.95–$16.45 range for Rigetti into the September 11 expiration, but implied volatility sits at the 5th percentile of the past year and the stock has gone quiet. Here are the levels that matter and three defined-risk ways to trade the compression.
• QBTS Options Are Pricing a $1.33 Move Into September 11 — Our Read Says the Range Holds — The options market is pricing QBTS between $15.25 and $17.91 into the September 11 expiration, with the put wall at $16.50 and max pain at $17. Options positioning leans quietly constructive while the price trend and both technical models lean lower — here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade the standoff.
• NIO Options Price a $0.26 Move Into September 11 — The 6-Day Technical Model Says $3.68 — After a 13% five-session flush, NIO's options chain has flipped hard to the call side while premium collapsed to the bottom of its 52-week range. The options market implies a $3.54–$4.06 band into the September 11 expiration; here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• GLD Options Are Pricing a ±$12.76 Move Into September 11 — Key Levels and Three Defined-Risk Trades — The options market is pricing a $393.54–$419.06 range for GLD into the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $405 and the week boxed between a $400 put wall and a $415 pile of call open interest. Here's what changed, where the levels sit, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• NBIS Options Price a ±$24 Move Into September 11 — And Both Walls Sit at $220 — Nebius option flow turned sharply call-heavy on Thursday's 7.5% surge, and our positioning read now scores firmly bullish into the September 11 expiration. But that expiration's heaviest call and put strikes — and its max pain — all sit at $220, right under the close.
• KWEB Options Are Pricing a ±$1 Move Into September 11 — and Positioning Leans Quietly Higher — The options market implies KWEB trades roughly $25.07–$27.03 through the September 11 expiration, with max pain pinned at $26 and the week's put wall at $25.50. Here's what the flow actually shows — and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• ASTS Options Are Pricing a $5.61 Move Into September 11 — Flow Says Higher, the Chart Says Lower — The options market implies a $56.70–$67.92 range for ASTS into the September 11 expiration, with implied volatility sitting cheaper than 93% of the past year's readings. Positioning has swung hard to the call side over three sessions — while both technical models point the other way.
• QCOM Options Are Pricing an $8.81 Move Into September 11 — Our Chart Read Sees Half That — The options market implies a $159.93–$177.55 range for QCOM into the September 11 expiration, while the technical model pencils in a band barely half that wide. Here's what the positioning data actually shows, the levels that matter, and three defined-risk ways to trade the gap.
• BB Options Are Pricing a ±$0.50 Move — And Every Sep 11 Level Sits at $8 — BlackBerry's options market implies a $7.20–$8.20 range into the September 11 expiration, and that expiration's call wall, put wall and max pain are all stacked on the same $8 strike. Here's what the skew flip is saying and three defined-risk ways to trade the setup.
• SMH Options Are Pricing a $22 Move Into September 11 — But the Call Wall Sits $3 Above Spot — The options market implies SMH trades between $544.50 and $589.52 through the September 11 expiration, with the heaviest call open interest for that date parked just $3 overhead at $570. Here's what the positioning says and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• INTC Options Are Pricing a $15 Swing Into September 11 — Positioning Leans Higher, But Only Slightly — Intel's options market implies an $87.96–$103.30 range into the September 11 expiration, with call-side flow, thinning put open interest and a positive dealer-gamma estimate all tilting the read modestly higher. Here are the levels that matter and three defined-risk ways to trade the next six days.
• QUBT Options Outlook: The Options Market Says $7.41–$8.61 Into September 11 — And Puts Just Got Very Expensive — QUBT's options chain is pricing a ±7.5% move into the September 11 expiration while 25-delta puts suddenly cost 39 vol points more than calls — a sharp break from this stock's own norm. Here are the levels that matter and three defined-risk ways to trade a slightly bearish tilt.
• USO Options Are Pricing a ±$7.41 Week — Our Read Says the $145 Call Wall Holds — The options market implies a $134.55–$149.37 range for USO into the September 11 expiration, with max pain sitting at $140 and the week's heaviest call strike parked at $145. Here's what the positioning data shows, where it disagrees with the chart, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• IBM Options Are Pricing a ±$8.90 Move Into September 11 — Our Model Sees a Coin Flip and the Charts See $238 — The options chain implies a $225.96–$243.82 band for IBM through the September 11 expiration, with max pain at $232.50 and the week's call wall at $240. Our positioning read is dead neutral while both technical models lean mildly higher — here's the level map and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• ARM Options Are Pricing a ±$20 Move Into September 11 — Our Technical Model Sees Half That — ARM's options market implies a $231.50–$272.50 range over the next six days, while the technical read targets $259 in a far tighter band. Here's what the positioning shows, the levels that matter, and three defined-risk ways to trade the gap.
• NVDA Options Are Pricing a ±$9.73 Move Into September 11 — and Charging Less Than the Stock Has Delivered — The options market implies a $220.30–$239.76 range for NVDA into the September 11 expiration, with the biggest call pile at $240 and max pain down at $220. Premium is unusually thin versus how much the stock has actually been moving — here's what that changes about how you'd trade it.
• SMCI Options Price a ±$3.48 Move Into Friday — Both Technical Models See $36.30 — The options market is pricing SMCI between $33.60 and $40.56 through the September 4 expiration, and the flow data is genuinely split. The technical read isn't: both horizons point lower, into the bottom half of that range.
• SOFI Options Are Pricing a $1.11 Move Into September 4 — And the Chart Disagrees With the Flow — The options market implies a $16.95–$19.17 range for SOFI through Friday, September 4, with max pain sitting at $18.50 just above Friday's close. Positioning leans slightly bullish while both technical reads point lower — here's the level that settles the argument, plus three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• F Options Outlook: Will $13.50 Hold Through the September 4 Expiration? — Ford's options market is pricing a $13.38–$14.38 range into the September 4 expiration, with the week's heaviest call open interest and max pain both parked at $14. Our positioning read comes out neutral — but the technicals disagree, and that gap is the most interesting thing on the board.
• SOXS Options Are Pricing a ±$7 Move Through September 4 — Our Positioning Read Leans Lower Than the Charts — The options market implies a $42.63–$57.01 range for SOXS into the September 4 expiration, with max pain at $45 and the whole chain's heaviest call strike sitting right at $50. Here's what the flow is actually saying, where the levels are, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• IREN Expected Move Into September 4: Key Levels, Cheap Options, and Three Defined-Risk Trades — The options market is pricing IREN between $31.89 and $39.37 by September 4 — a ±10.5% window — while implied volatility sits at the very bottom of its 52-week range. Here's the flow-versus-chart split, the full level map, and three defined-risk ways to trade it.
• TQQQ Options Are Pricing a $4.33 Move Into Sep 4 — Our Model Sees a Tighter Path — The options market implies a $67.52–$76.18 range for TQQQ into the September 4 expiration, while the technical model brackets a much narrower $69.90–$75.30. Here's what the positioning data shows, the levels that matter, and three defined-risk ways to trade the gap.